Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000678 0.000771 0.000870 0.000983 0.001106 0.001238 0.001389
2025-08-24 0.000516 0.000643 0.000787 0.000960 0.001163 0.001392 0.001667
2025-08-31 0.000421 0.000559 0.000723 0.000930 0.001181 0.001475 0.001840
2025-09-07 0.000362 0.000509 0.000690 0.000927 0.001226 0.001584 0.002043
2025-09-14 0.000318 0.000470 0.000665 0.000928 0.001269 0.001688 0.002237
2025-09-21 0.000278 0.000431 0.000635 0.000918 0.001295 0.001770 0.002404
2025-09-28 0.000242 0.000394 0.000603 0.000902 0.001310 0.001834 0.002548
2025-10-05 0.000225 0.000382 0.000603 0.000927 0.001378 0.001969 0.002784
2025-10-12 0.000208 0.000367 0.000599 0.000945 0.001436 0.002090 0.003005
2025-10-19 0.000186 0.000343 0.000577 0.000937 0.001457 0.002160 0.003159
2025-10-26 0.000166 0.000318 0.000553 0.000923 0.001468 0.002217 0.003295
2025-11-02 0.000153 0.000305 0.000546 0.000932 0.001511 0.002318 0.003493
2025-11-09 0.000139 0.000289 0.000533 0.000933 0.001543 0.002404 0.003674
2025-11-16 0.000121 0.000263 0.000502 0.000904 0.001528 0.002423 0.003762
2025-11-23 0.000105 0.000240 0.000474 0.000876 0.001514 0.002444 0.003851
2025-11-30 0.000095 0.000227 0.000462 0.000874 0.001537 0.002516 0.004014
2025-12-07 0.000087 0.000216 0.000452 0.000874 0.001565 0.002596 0.004190
2025-12-14 0.000078 0.000203 0.000437 0.000865 0.001576 0.002652 0.004330
2025-12-21 0.000070 0.000189 0.000419 0.000850 0.001577 0.002690 0.004446
2025-12-28 0.000067 0.000187 0.000424 0.000874 0.001641 0.002828 0.004710
2026-01-04 0.000063 0.000183 0.000425 0.000891 0.001695 0.002949 0.004953
2026-01-11 0.000057 0.000173 0.000412 0.000883 0.001706 0.003004 0.005097
2026-01-18 0.000051 0.000162 0.000398 0.000870 0.001709 0.003046 0.005221